{"id":17663,"date":"2023-07-11T07:33:57","date_gmt":"2023-07-11T11:33:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/?p=17663"},"modified":"2023-07-11T08:08:26","modified_gmt":"2023-07-11T12:08:26","slug":"restaurant-inventory-management-forecasting-demand","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/2023\/07\/11\/restaurant-inventory-management-forecasting-demand\/","title":{"rendered":"Restaurant Inventory Management: Forecasting Demand"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Inventory management is <a href=\"https:\/\/savoreat.com\/restaurant-operations-management-todays-challenges-and-solutions\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a critical component of any restaurant&#8217;s success<\/a>. By effectively managing inventory, restaurants can reduce waste, improve efficiency, and boost profits. In this series of articles, we will explore key aspects of inventory management in restaurants, starting with forecasting demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What Is Forecasting Demand?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"720\" height=\"480\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/forecasting-demand-6.jpg\" alt=\"Restaurant managers also need to consider their own inventory policies and procedures when forecasting demand.\" class=\"wp-image-17677\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/forecasting-demand-6.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/forecasting-demand-6-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">It is useful for restaurant owners and managers to consider their own <a href=\"https:\/\/www.revolutionordering.com\/blog\/forecasting-for-restaurants\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">inventory policies and procedures<\/a> when forecasting demand.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The first step in effective inventory management for foodservice establishments is to forecast demand. This involves <strong>predicting how much food will be needed to meet customer demand as well as  the supplies you will need to keep your establishment running<\/strong>. There are many potential factors affecting demand at any given moment, including the time of year, the day of the week, and special events. By accurately forecasting demand, you can <strong>avoid profit loss from overstocking or understocking<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are several different methods for forecasting demand. Some common methods include using<strong> historical sales data to predict future demand, examining seasonal trends, and taking special events<\/strong> into account. Managing the endless stream of complex and somewhat unique challenges brought about in the last several years, however, necessitates a more comprehensive approach to forecasting demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How to Forecast Demand in 2023<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"720\" height=\"480\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/forecasting-demand-3.jpg\" alt=\"According to a 2022 survey by the National Restaurant Association, 70% of consumers say they are looking for healthier options when eating out.\" class=\"wp-image-17674\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/forecasting-demand-3.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/forecasting-demand-3-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">According to a 2022 survey by the <a href=\"https:\/\/restaurant.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">National Restaurant Association<\/a>, 70% of consumers say they are looking for healthier options when eating out.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Restaurants need to accurately predict how much food and supplies they will need based on factors such as <strong>seasonality<\/strong>, <strong>menu changes<\/strong>, and <strong>upcoming events<\/strong>. This can be difficult, especially for newer or seasonal restaurants that don&#8217;t have a lot of historical data to draw from. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here is a list of factors that are helpful to consider when forecasting demand in 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Consumer Preferences Are Changing<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Consumer preferences are also changing, which directly impacts the restaurant industry. For example, more <strong>consumers are eating healthier food<\/strong> or seeking plant-based ingredients when they dine out. Additionally, <strong>more consumers are ordering food online <\/strong>or through delivery apps, which is changing the way restaurants operate as well as the supplies they need to serve their guests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Inflation Continues to Raise Food Cost<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s no secret that food costs are soaring.&nbsp;Inflation is a major concern for businesses across all industries as well as for consumers who are changing their buying habits to avoid high prices. <strong>Rising food costs and other expenses such as rising utility and rent costs<\/strong>, are making it difficult for restaurants to maintain their profit margins. This is leading to higher menu prices, which could impact demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Interest Rates Are Rising<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Rising interest rates are also having an impact on the restaurant industry. Higher interest rates make it more expensive for businesses to borrow money, which could lead to reduced investment in new restaurants or reduced expansion of existing restaurants. <strong>For existing restaurants however, this could also impact demand positively<\/strong>, as fewer new restaurants means less competition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Restaurants that are able to adapt to these changes will be well positioned for success.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Additional Factors for Future Casting Your Restaurant&#8217;s Needs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"720\" height=\"480\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/forecasting-demand-2.jpg\" alt=\"The cost of robotics and AI technology has been declining in recent years, making it more affordable for restaurants to adopt these technologies.\" class=\"wp-image-17672\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/forecasting-demand-2.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/forecasting-demand-2-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">The cost of robotics has been declining in recent years, making it more affordable for restaurants to adopt these technologies, especially <a href=\"https:\/\/www.robotics247.com\/article\/robot_prices_drop_ai_investments_ethics_worries_increase_finds_stanford_hai_ai_index_2022_report#:~:text=%E2%80%9CThe%20median%20price%20of%20robotic,academics%20can%20get%20educator%20discounts.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">robot arms<\/a>. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The following variables will continue to play an important part in shaping our industry, potentially culminating in significant changes in 5\u201310 years. While they don\u2019t demand your immediate attention, these are <strong>good factors to consider when future casting<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>The rise of new technologies<\/strong>:&nbsp;New technologies, such as artificial intelligence and robotics, will have a major impact on the restaurant industry in the future. For example, these technologies could be used to <strong>automate tasks <\/strong>and may affect the number of staff required to run your establishment well.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>The long-term impact of COVID-19<\/strong>:&nbsp;The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on the restaurant industry, and it is still too early to say what the long-term effects will be. However, it is possible that the pandemic could lead to <strong>a permanent shift in consumer behavior<\/strong>, such as an increased preference for delivery or takeout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>The growth of the e-commerce market<\/strong>:&nbsp;The e-commerce market is growing rapidly, and this could have an impact on the restaurant industry. For example, more consumers may choose to <strong>order food online<\/strong> instead of going to a restaurant.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>It is important for restaurants to stay up-to-date on these trends and factors so that they can make informed decisions about how to forecast demand and plan for the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Key to Success<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"720\" height=\"480\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/forecasting-demand-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17676\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/forecasting-demand-1.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/forecasting-demand-1-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.qsrmagazine.com\/sponsored\/restaurant-forecasting-systems-predict-greater-success\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The restaurant supply chain is complex<\/a>, involving a number of different players, including suppliers, distributors, and restaurants. This complexity makes it difficult to track and manage demand throughout the supply chain.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>While there is no surefire way to predict the future, here are helpful methods to get you as close as possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Make More Accurate Predictions With Data-Driven Forecasting&nbsp;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Restaurants should use data from their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.business.com\/articles\/top-restaurant-benefits-pos\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">POS systems<\/a>, customer loyalty programs, and other sources to create accurate forecasts. This data helps restaurants to <strong>track trends<\/strong>, <strong>identify patterns<\/strong>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/getsling.com\/blog\/restaurant-staffing\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">make better decisions about staffing<\/a>, inventory, and pricing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Maintaining data integrity by assuring your data is accurate and up to date will also help you to create more accurate forecasts. Also, it helps to take a lateral approach to forecasting.&nbsp;Consider using sources such as customer surveys or social media data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Go With the Flow&nbsp;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The restaurant industry is constantly changing, so it is important for restaurants to be flexible in their forecasting. This means being prepared to adjust forecasts based on <a href=\"https:\/\/restaurant.eatapp.co\/blog\/how-to-forecast-restaurant-sales\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">new information or changes in the market<\/a>. Considering all possible outcomes and thinking about how those scenarios could impact your business will help you to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.qsrmagazine.com\/consumer-trends\/how-covid-19-forever-changed-restaurant-industry\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">be prepared for anything<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Invest in Technology or Partner With a Consultant<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>There are a number of technology solutions that can help restaurants with forecasting such as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forecastpro.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ForecastPro<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gotenzo.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Tenzo<\/a>. These software options can help restaurants to collect data, analyze trends, and create forecasts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Restaurants can also <strong>partner with consultants or software providers<\/strong> for guidance and insights. If you aren\u2019t an expert in forecasting inventory demands, there are people who can help clarify your vision and improve forecasting accuracy for your establishment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By following these tips, restaurants can improve their forecasting process and be better prepared for the challenges of 2023 and beyond.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Stay Ahead of the Curve<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"720\" height=\"480\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/forecasting-demand-5.jpg\" alt=\"According to a 2022 survey by the National Restaurant Association, 64% of consumers say they have ordered food online in the past year. This number is expected to continue to grow in the years to come, as more and more consumers become comfortable with online ordering.\" class=\"wp-image-17681\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/forecasting-demand-5.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/forecasting-demand-5-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">According to a 2022 survey by the <a href=\"https:\/\/restaurant.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">National Restaurant Association<\/a>, 64% of consumers say they have ordered food online in the past year. As more and more consumers become comfortable with online ordering, this number will grow.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>By accurately forecasting demand and future casting, restaurants can avoid profit loss from overstocking or understocking. Stay tuned for our next inventory management article, when we look at theft and shrinkage in foodservice establishments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wasserstrom.com\/blog\/2023\/04\/04\/new-food-truck-challenges\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Next Up: 5 Challenges New Food Truck Owners Face<\/a><\/h5>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Inventory management is a critical component of any restaurant&#8217;s success. By effectively managing inventory, restaurants can reduce waste, improve efficiency, and boost profits. In this series of articles, we will explore key aspects of inventory management in restaurants, starting with forecasting demand. What Is Forecasting Demand? The first step in effective inventory management for foodservice [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":17671,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17663","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-restaurant-management"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Restaurant Inventory Management: Forecasting Demand | The Official Wasserstrom Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"We explore the role that forecasting demand plays in Restaurant Inventory Management and offer tips on how to 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